Weekly Market Recap | July 06 – July 12

Analyst Highlights

  • Market breadth remained uneven: Large-cap technology supported headline indexes, while weakness in the Russell 2000 signaled continued pressure on smaller companies.
  • Energy became the week’s dominant macro driver: Brent and WTI gains revived inflation concerns and pushed short-term Treasury yields higher.
  • Monetary-policy risks shifted upward: Oil inflation and AI-driven demand strengthened the case for tighter Federal Reserve policy.
  • AI spending remains structurally strong: Micron, Meta and TSMC developments indicate demand for chips, memory and computing infrastructure remains resilient.
  • Investor positioning within technology is changing: Apple gained as capital rotated away from higher-risk AI infrastructure names, while Nvidia’s valuation compressed sharply.
  • Geopolitical fragmentation is affecting capital flows: US-Iran escalation, Gulf tensions and defense realignment are increasingly shaping investment, energy and security decisions.

IPO’s in the week

  • SK hynix (SKHYL, Nasdaq) — listed on July 10, 2026, offering 177,900,000 shares at $149.00 per share.
  • Columbus Circle C. (CCCTU, Nasdaq) — listed on July 9, 2026, offering 20,000,000 units at $10.00 each. Shares traded 0.10% below the offer price.
  • Mercator Acquisition (MRCOU, Nasdaq) — listed on July 9, 2026, offering 15,000,000 units at $10.00 each. Shares declined 0.10%.
  • Freedom Metals Acquisition (FDMMU, Nasdaq) — listed on July 8, 2026, offering 27,500,000 units at $10.00 each. Shares gained 0.15%.
  • Bleichroeder Acquisition (BCCQU, Nasdaq) — listed on July 7, 2026, offering 30,000,000 units at $10.00 each. Shares were unchanged after pricing.

Markets Weekly

  1. S&P 500 closed at 7,575.39, rising 96 points, or 0.50%, for the week.
  2. Russell 1000 closed at 4,125.21, rising 07 points, or 0.29%, for the week.
  3. Russell 2000 closed at 2,977.81, falling 73 points, or 1.05%, for the week.
  4. Russell 3000 closed at 4,307.85, rising 12 points, or 0.24%, for the week.
  5. CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closed at 03, falling 0.54 points, or 3.47%, for the week.
  6. Dow Jones closed at 52,637.01, falling 90 points, or 0.79%, for the week.
  7. Nasdaq Composite closed at 26,281.61, rising 45 points, or 0.61%, for the week.
  8. Bitcoin closed at $63,758.22, falling $236.80, or 37%, for the week.
  9. Ethereum closed at $1,805.79, rising $8.22, or 46%, for the week.
  10. Solana closed at $76.87, falling $5.05, or 16%, for the week.
  11. XRP closed at $1.0857, falling $0.0581, or 08%, for the week.
  12. Gold closed at $4,104.10, falling $51.00, or 23%, for the week.
  13. Silver closed at $59.81, falling $2.11, or 41%, for the week.
  14. WTI crude closed at $71.41, rising $2.86, or 17%, for the week.
  15. Brent crude closed at $76.01, rising $4.02, or 58%, for the week.
  • US stocks gained for a second week, while SK Hynix surged 13% after raising $26.5 billion in a record foreign-company US IPO.
  • Oil jumped as US-Iran strikes escalated tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, lifting Brent above $79 and clouding diplomatic prospects.
  • Two-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2025 as rising oil prices strengthened expectations of earlier Federal Reserve rate hikes.
  • Circle won approval for a US national digital-currency trust bank, expanding USDC custody under federal oversight and sending shares sharply higher.
  • A widening Saudi-UAE rift is raising concerns that global banks may have to choose sides across $3 trillion in sovereign wealth.
  • Morgan Stanley expects earnings strength to broaden beyond technology, with median S&P 1500 profit growth exceeding 10%.
  • Fed official John Williams warned AI-driven demand could keep inflation elevated, potentially forcing monetary policy to respond.

Politics Weekly

  • US and Iran exchanged fresh strikes as Tehran targeted Gulf bases, while conflicting Hormuz claims fueled renewed oil-supply fears.
  • The US demanded Iran publicly confirm the Strait of Hormuz is open to all shipping, warning of consequences for noncompliance.
  • Moscow endured a second day of mass Ukrainian drone attacks, with over 350 drones targeting the region and three fatalities reported.
  • Ukraine said it struck two Russian refineries and 13 fuel tankers, intensifying attacks on Moscow’s energy infrastructure and military logistics.
  • Trump said Ukraine will be allowed to manufacture Patriot missile interceptors, marking a significant shift in his approach toward the war.
  • The EU is set to let Ukraine use its €60 billion defense loan to purchase British-made weapons.
  • China rejected the South China Sea arbitration ruling as invalid, while 14 countries reaffirmed support for a free and open Indo-Pacific.
  • Turkey is seeking to transfer its Russian S-400 systems to a third country, hoping to restore access to US-made F-35 jets.

Technology Advancements in the week

  • OpenAI launched ChatGPT Work, a GPT-5.6-powered agent designed to handle complex business tasks across documents, spreadsheets, presentations and web apps.
  • Micron raised planned US investment to $250 billion to expand memory-chip production, strengthen domestic supply chains and create 90,000 jobs.
  • TSMC’s quarterly sales jumped 36%, reinforcing strong AI-chip demand even as investors questioned high valuations and excess computing capacity.
  • Nvidia lost roughly $1 trillion in market value, pushing its valuation to pre-AI-boom levels despite rising profit forecasts.
  • Meta committed another $40 billion to its Louisiana data-center campus, expanding the site toward 5 gigawatts of computing capacity.
  • Apple added nearly $600 billion in market value as investors rotated out of AI-linked chipmakers and cloud stocks.
  • Washington is weighing stronger safeguards as US AI labs accuse Chinese firms of using distillation to train rival models.
  • Apple added nearly $600 billion in market value as investors rotated out of AI-linked chipmakers and cloud stocks.
  • Chinese AI firm Zhipu plans a $4 billion share sale after its Hong Kong-listed stock surged nearly 1,500%.

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